Lineup Tool — Market Research

Competitive landscape, TAM analysis, and business model for a youth sports lineup builder

Prepared June 13, 2026

37
Competitors Identified
2.5M
US Youth Coaches (TAM)
$0
Market Leader in Lineup Niche
~30K
Paying Subs to Hit $1M/yr
$8/mo
Hosting Cost at 100K Users

Competitive Landscape

The Big Gap

GameChanger (9M users) and TeamSnap (25M users) are massive platform plays where lineup is an afterthought. The largest lineup-FOCUSED tool (SubTime) has only 50K coaches ... just 2% of the total coach TAM. Nobody owns this niche yet.

Competitor User Estimates (Log Scale)

Competitor Pricing Landscape

Direct Competitor Comparison

ProductPlatformEst. UsersPriceRatingStatusKey Differentiator
RizzleriOS, Web2K-8K$14.99/mo4.5+ActiveAI batting orders from stats
FungoWeb5K-15K$9.99/moN/AActiveLittle League rules engine
Who's On SecondWeb200-500$5.99/moN/AActiveParent fairness dashboard
DugoutIQWeb500-2K$4/moN/AActiveBench fairness algorithm
Coach Joel's WayiOS, Web1K-3KFree4.8Active100% free, GameChanger import
Fielding Rotation AppiOS, And, Web500-1.1KFree/$9.994.0ActiveSeason position tracking
GameTime LineupsWeb<500~$5/moN/AEarlySkill-based ranking
Dugout EdgeWeb1K-5K$8/moN/AActiveCo-ed + drill libraries
SubTimeiOS, And50KFree/Prem4.5+ActiveMulti-sport sub tracking
Roster BlastiOS500-1.5KFree/IAP4.9ActivePosition randomization
Play Ball LineupiOS3.3K-6.6K$4.992.5AbandonedLast updated 2015

Total Addressable Market

US Youth Coaches by Sport

Baseball Age Brackets — Where Rules Get Complex

The Sweet Spot: Ages 8-12

This is where pitch count rules kick in, mandatory play requirements create real lineup headaches, parents start asking "why isn't my kid playing infield," and volunteer coaches need the most help. Roughly 1.5M players and 150K+ coaches live in this bracket.

Adjacent Sports Opportunity

SportUS Youth PlayersEst. CoachesRotation Pain?Rule ComplexityOpportunity
Baseball4.5M600-700KVery HighVery HighPrimary
Softball800K-1M100-140KVery HighVery HighPrimary
Soccer4-4.5M500-700KHighHighExpansion
Basketball3.5-4M400-600KHighHighExpansion
Football2-2.5M250-400KVery HighVery HighExpansion
Hockey500-600K50-80KVery HighVery HighNiche
Lacrosse425-500K40-60KHighHighNiche
Volleyball500-700K60-90KModerateModerateNiche

Business Model & Revenue Path

Platform Fee Comparison

🍎 Apple
15%
Small Business Program (<$1M rev)
$99/yr developer account
🤖 Google
10%
Post-June 30, 2026 subscription rate
$25 one-time developer fee
💳 Stripe (Web)
11.3%
2.9% + $0.30 + 0.7% billing
No app store middleman

Hosting Cost at Scale (Monthly)

Cloudflare vs. Competitors at 100K Users

Revenue Scenarios to Net $1M/yr

Recommended Pricing: $4.99/mo or $39.99/yr

At 3% Conversion

~1.04M
free users needed
30,404 paying subscribers
$1.17M gross → $1M net

At 5% Conversion ⭐ Target

~608K
free users needed
30,404 paying subscribers
$1.17M gross → $1M net

At 8% Conversion

~380K
free users needed
30,404 paying subscribers
$1.17M gross → $1M net

Why These Numbers Work

There are ~1M youth baseball coaches in the US. At 5% conversion, you need 608K free users (about 60% of all coaches) and 30K paying. Monthly opex is only ~$2,000 (one OA VA + near-zero hosting). Cloudflare hosting costs $8/mo at 100K users vs. $95-145/mo on AWS or Vercel.

Path to $1M — Timeline

Year 1 — Foundation & Seed

PWA + Capacitor app to both stores. AI agents scrape 6,500+ Little League leagues. Brad creates 20+ short-form videos. Join top 100 Facebook coaching groups.

Target: 20K free users, 1K paying → $38K gross

Year 2 — Growth

Scale AI outreach to 5,000 leagues. Referral program. Partner with bat/glove brands. Launch "League Admin" free dashboard. Appear on youth baseball podcasts.

Target: 100K free users, 5K paying → $192K gross

Year 3 — Scale

Expand to softball and flag football. Build GameChanger/TeamSnap integrations. League-level pricing ($99/yr). Brad keynotes at 2-3 youth baseball conferences.

Target: 300K free users, 15K paying → $577K gross

Year 4 — $1M Milestone

600K free users, 30K paying subscribers across baseball, softball, football, soccer. Multi-sport rule engine fully built. League partnerships driving top-down adoption.

Target: 600K free, 30K paying → $1.15M gross → $1M net ✅

The Vibe-Coding Moat

Rule Set Variations in Youth Baseball Alone

Why This Matters

There are 15-20+ distinct rule sets in youth baseball alone. With local rec league variations, that's 50-100+. Traditional dev teams can't economically build for this long tail. AI-assisted development can. Once coaches configure their season, switching costs become real.

Brad's Unfair Advantages

1. Real coach who built this for himself
2. Professional speaker/content creator
3. AI agents for outreach at scale ($0 marketing)
4. OA VAs for support ($1,895/mo, not $50K salary)
5. Cloudflare hosting = $0-10/mo at any scale
6. App already built and working

Recommended Tech Stack

🏗️ Hosting

Cloudflare
Pages + Workers + D1
Already there. $0-8/mo at scale.

🔐 Auth

Supabase Auth
Free to 50K users
Or custom JWT on Workers

📱 Mobile App

Capacitor
Wrap existing HTML/JS
1-2 weeks to App Store

🗄️ Database

Cloudflare D1
SQLite at the edge
Free tier covers 100K+ users